Part of: How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
This Polymarket market resolves Yes if the 5-year Treasury yield reaches or exceeds 5.10% on any date from September 3 through December 31, 2026; otherwise, it resolves No. Current odds were not included in the supplied data. PolySpotter tracks $2,859 in smart money and one signal, with a sharp trader recently adding to Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,859.
Categories: Economy, Finance, Fed Rates, Treasuries
Notable Trades
Proven sharp adding to Yes
A proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Yes position with a sizable trade.
- This bettor has won 79% of 61 resolved positions and is up $29,120.
- They added $2,859 to an existing Yes position, a sizable buy relative to the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The purchase was at 85¢, near the current 84¢ odds, so the strongest signal is the bettor’s track record and added conviction.
$2,859 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
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10-year yields stay above 4.76%
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Inflation exceeds five percent
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