PolySpotter

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Event

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

3 signals across 3 markets · $6,757 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether the 5-year Treasury yield reaches 5.10% between September 3 and December 31, 2026. A recent PolySpotter alert shows a proven sharp adding to Yes, with $2,859 in tracked smart-money activity across the event.

Markets (3)

  1. Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?1 signal · $2,859 tracked
  2. Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?1 signal · $2,636 tracked
  3. Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?1 signal · $1,261 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Large YES bet in a quiet market

    A $1,261 YES position exceeded ten times the market’s 24-hour volume and the indicated odds have since risen from 68% to 79%, though the wallet’s record does not establish a strong edge.

    $1,261Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 3.4
  2. Proven sharp adding to Yes

    A proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Yes position with a sizable trade.

    $2,859Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 3.3
  3. Large bettor adding to Yes

    A trader with a large existing Yes position added $2,636 in a market with only $30 of 24-hour volume, signaling notable conviction despite a modest historical win rate.

    $2,636Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 3.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xff7ca9…b233$3,898 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 57% wins
  2. 0xff06e8…2f60$2,859 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
5-year yield reaches 4.90%, not 5.25%

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds that the 5-year Treasury yield will hit 5.10% before 2027?

The event has one market: whether the 5-year Treasury yield reaches or exceeds 5.10% during the specified 2026 period. Check the live market for the latest odds.

What is smart money doing in this market?

PolySpotter recently flagged a proven sharp adding to Yes. The event has $2,859 in tracked smart-money activity and one reported signal.

When does the 5-year Treasury yield market resolve?

The market resolves Yes if the yield reaches or exceeds 5.10% on a qualifying date from September 3 through December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves No once the relevant data is available.

What outcome is this prediction market tracking?

It tracks whether the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield reaches the 5.10% threshold before 2027—not the yield’s average or closing level over the entire period.