Part of: "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?
This prediction market asks whether “The Breadwinner” will gross more than $7 million domestically during its 3-day opening weekend from May 29–31, 2026. It resolves after final Daily Box Office Performance figures are posted on The Numbers, with $2,238 in smart money tracked and 1 recent smart money signal currently noted.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,239.
Categories: Culture, Movies, box office
Notable Trades
Profitable 76% bettor
Surfaced despite a weak alert because the wallet has a strong resolved track record: 76% wins across 112 bets and +$36k lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $36k lifetime.
- They are effectively backing Yes at 63¢ on a $2.2k trade.
- The market is liquid, but the trader’s long track record makes the position worth watching.
$2,238 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable box-office sharp
A profitable bettor with a 76% win rate is effectively buying Yes at 49¢ on a niche box-office market, despite the alert’s weak standalone signal.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $36k lifetime.
- They effectively bought Yes at 49¢, below the current 54¢ market price.
- The trade targets a niche box-office market where specialized information can matter.
$1,001 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $24,841
- 0x955c...990f — Yes, $19,802 (75% win rate)
- 0x5095...93ee — Yes, $5,493 (50% win rate)
- 0x4da7...355e — Yes, $5,035 (59% win rate)
- 0xb94c...b5b5 — No, $5,000 (76% win rate)
- 0xb028...8686 — No, $3,974 (51% win rate)
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — No, $2,650
- 0x9aeb...2729 — Yes, $1,992 (68% win rate)
- 0x9214...a803 — Yes, $1,817
- 0x944e...8c94 — No, $1,500 (61% win rate)
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