Part of: AL-07 House Election Winner
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?
This prediction market asks whether the Democratic Party candidate will win Alabama’s 7th congressional district seat in the U.S. House during the 2026 midterm elections. The market resolves based on the party affiliation of the winning candidate once the AL-07 race is conclusively called, with election day scheduled for November 4, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,035 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including a recent 90% winner-buying alert in a quiet market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,035.
Categories: Nov 4 Elections, Politics, Elections, Midterms, House Elections, Alabama Midterm
Notable Trades
90% winner buying quiet market
Despite only a weak low-activity signal, the buyer has a strong 90% record over 20 resolved bets and is adding a $1k Democratic AL-07 position in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $5.4K lifetime.
- They put $1.0K into a quiet market, equal to 67% of the past day’s volume.
- Entry at 87¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite trade, with the market now around 89¢.
$1,035 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x9514...136f — Yes, $1,190 (90% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,036
- 0x120b...ee03 — Yes, $773
- 0x7ac8...77cd — Yes, $482 (41% win rate)
- 0x21ff...0d71 — No, $340
- 0x1f9e...4f1a — No, $260
- 0x5446...18f6 — Yes, $249
- 0x2100...8b83 — No, $200
- 0x4857...b0a3 — No, $200
- 0x4e0d...d518 — No, $200