Part of: FL-03 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,360.

Categories: Nov 4 Elections, Politics, Elections, Midterms, House Elections, Florida Midterm

Notable Trades

90% winner in thin market

Sharp-wallet override: a 90% lifetime winner with positive P&L bought No in a thin, low-volume political market despite a modest composite score.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $5.4k lifetime.
  • They put $1.36k on No in a thin market with under $5k of liquidity.
  • Entry at 88¢ suggests a high-confidence favorite rather than a long-shot swing.

$1,360 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9514...136f No, $1,546 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x6d57...bfc5 Yes, $990 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x6f67...102c Yes, $825
  4. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $400
  5. 0x27bc...eb65 Yes, $60
  6. 0xcf95...7865 Yes, $30
  7. 0x2a25...8055 Yes, $20
  8. 0x0b34...ffc3 Yes, $11
  9. 0xa815...9cbe Yes, $9

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?

174dFL-03 House Election Winner$1,360 tracked1 signalNov 4 ElectionsPoliticsElectionsMidtermsHouse ElectionsFlorida Midterm
Yes
11¢
No
90¢

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Price History — “No
91¢
89¢
86¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?

2h ago

$1,360 on No at 88¢

88¢90¢2¢