Part of: NJ-11 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?

This Polymarket market asks whether the Democratic Party candidate will win New Jersey’s 11th congressional district seat in the 2026 U.S. House midterm elections. It resolves based on the party affiliation of the winning candidate after the NJ-11 race is conclusively called, with Election Day scheduled for November 4, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,257 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,257.

Categories: Nov 4 Elections, Politics, Elections, House Elections, Midterms, New Jersey Midterm

Notable Trades

Sharp political favorite buyer

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 88% record and is adding size to a quiet political market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $22.7K lifetime.
  • They put $2.3K on a quiet market, more than the listed 24h volume signal saw.
  • Buying at 90¢ suggests a low-upside but high-confidence favorite position.

$2,257 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x34ab...f1db Yes, $2,508 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x6d57...bfc5 No, $2,072 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x8b44...63fb No, $580
  4. 0x976e...ecf3 Yes, $508
  5. 0xd4c5...8a09 No, $500
  6. 0x38e5...95e7 Yes, $465 (79% win rate)
  7. 0xa5e3...4d7e Yes, $346 (28% win rate)
  8. 0xe4ca...1383 No, $258
  9. 0x4e0d...d518 No, $200
  10. 0xc602...7fc1 No, $200 (39% win rate)

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?

175dNJ-11 House Election Winner$2,257 tracked1 signalNov 4 ElectionsPoliticsElectionsHouse ElectionsMidtermsNew Jersey Midterm
Yes
91¢
No
10¢

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Price History — “Yes
92¢
90¢
87¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?

3h ago

$2,257 on Yes at 90¢

90¢91¢1¢