Part of: OH-14 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?

This prediction market covers whether the Democratic Party candidate will win Ohio’s 14th congressional district seat in the U.S. House in the 2026 midterm elections. The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026, and the market resolves based on the party affiliation of the winning candidate; PolySpotter is tracking $3,312 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,312.

Categories: Politics, Nov 4 Elections, Elections, Midterms, House Elections, Ohio Midterm, US Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial politics bettor

Profitable serial political bettor added a $3.3k No position in a thin OH-14 market, taking 80% of daily volume and already moving from 90¢ to 94¢.

  • This bettor is up $238k lifetime and has traded across 30 political events.
  • The $3.3k buy was 80% of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.
  • They added to an existing No position at 90¢, and the market has already moved to 94¢.

$3,312 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6d57...bfc5 Yes, $3,992 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xc8b9...b836 No, $3,698 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $328
  4. 0xa667...ceb3 No, $204 (90% win rate)
  5. 0x21ff...0d71 Yes, $121
  6. 0xa815...9cbe Yes, $102
  7. 0xa3e2...fdf8 No, $95
  8. 0x7495...7fcf Yes, $75
  9. 0x764a...83d3 Yes, $50
  10. 0x4ffe...9f71 Yes, $38

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Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?

85dOH-14 House Election Winner$3,312 tracked1 signalPoliticsNov 4 ElectionsElectionsMidtermsHouse ElectionsOhio MidtermUS Election
Yes
9¢
No
91¢

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Price History — “No
93¢
91¢
89¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?

27d ago

$3,312 on No at 90¢

90¢91¢1¢

Related Theses