Part of: SC-02 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,056.

Categories: Nov 4 Elections, Politics, Elections, House Elections, Midterms, South Carolina Midterm

Notable Trades

79% winner buying Democratic upset

Surfaced because a profitable 79% lifetime winner is effectively buying Yes in a relatively quiet House market despite only a weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $8.1K lifetime.
  • They effectively bought Democratic at 19¢, below the current 22¢ market price.
  • The $1.1K trade was 64% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet race.

$1,056 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6d57...bfc5 Yes, $1,383 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $1,368
  3. 0xdc89...ccea Yes, $421
  4. 0x21ff...0d71 No, $417
  5. 0xcdbf...1926 Yes, $350
  6. 0xa5e3...4d7e No, $200 (18% win rate)
  7. 0x38e5...95e7 No, $151 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x111e...3753 No, $103 (79% win rate)
  9. 0x04b9...79e0 Yes, $60 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x4ffe...9f71 Yes, $51

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?

174dSC-02 House Election Winner$1,056 tracked1 signalNov 4 ElectionsPoliticsElectionsHouse ElectionsMidtermsSouth Carolina Midterm
Yes
21¢
No
79¢

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Price History — “No
84¢
80¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?

2h ago

$1,056 on Yes at 19¢

19¢21¢2¢