Part of: SC-02 House Election Winner
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,056.
Categories: Nov 4 Elections, Politics, Elections, House Elections, Midterms, South Carolina Midterm
Notable Trades
79% winner buying Democratic upset
Surfaced because a profitable 79% lifetime winner is effectively buying Yes in a relatively quiet House market despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $8.1K lifetime.
- They effectively bought Democratic at 19¢, below the current 22¢ market price.
- The $1.1K trade was 64% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet race.
$1,056 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x6d57...bfc5 — Yes, $1,383 (50% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,368
- 0xdc89...ccea — Yes, $421
- 0x21ff...0d71 — No, $417
- 0xcdbf...1926 — Yes, $350
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — No, $200 (18% win rate)
- 0x38e5...95e7 — No, $151 (79% win rate)
- 0x111e...3753 — No, $103 (79% win rate)
- 0x04b9...79e0 — Yes, $60 (76% win rate)
- 0x4ffe...9f71 — Yes, $51