Part of: Arizona Governor Election Winner
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
This Polymarket market asks whether the Democratic nominee will win Arizona’s 2026 gubernatorial election. The supplied market details do not include current odds; the market is scheduled to resolve based on the election winner on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,129.
Categories: Arizona Midterm, Governor Elections, Politics, Midterms, US Election, Elections, Key Governor Races
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable bettor with an 86% win rate across 169 resolved bets and extensive cross-market activity bought Yes at 89¢, though the market is already priced at 92%.
- This bettor has won 86% of 169 resolved bets and is up nearly $100,000.
- They placed a $5,129 Yes bet at 89¢ and have traded across 34 markets in 31 events.
- The market is now at 92¢, so the remaining price gap to their entry is narrow.
$5,129 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Related Theses
France Spain advance, Argentina falls short
Covers 3 related markets
Fed hikes rates in September 2026
Covers 1 related market
Hormuz traffic remains disrupted
Covers 1 related market
SPD will win most seats
Covers 1 related market
Hormuz traffic won’t normalize by year-end
Covers 1 related market
Kristersson will remain Sweden’s PM
Covers 1 related market
Fed will not hike rates in 2026
Covers 1 related market
Merz will leave office before 2027
Covers 1 related market
Clarity Act will become law
Covers 1 related market
U.S. won’t invade Iran by 2027
Covers 1 related market
