Part of: Michigan Senate Election Winner
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
This prediction market asks whether the Democratic candidate will win the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate election. It resolves based on the official election winner, including any runoff; a recent smart-money alert showed an 89% trader scaling into Yes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,630.
Categories: Politics, Elections, US Election, Midterms, Senate midterms, Michigan Midterm, Abdul El-Sayed, mike rogers
Notable Trades
89% winner scales into Yes
A highly active 89% winner added $7,674 to an existing Michigan Senate Yes position despite the market trading slightly below their entry.
- This bettor has won 89% of 209 resolved trades and is up $212,199 lifetime.
- They added $7,674 to an existing Yes position, bringing their total investment in the market above $26,000.
- The trade was large relative to recent market activity, although the price has since eased from 66¢ to 64¢.
$10,956 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
89% winner scales into Yes
A highly active 89% winner added $7,674 to an existing Michigan Senate Yes position despite the market trading slightly below their entry.
- This bettor has won 89% of 209 resolved trades and is up $212,199 lifetime.
- They added $7,674 to an existing Yes position, bringing their total investment in the market above $26,000.
- The trade was large relative to recent market activity, although the price has since eased from 66¢ to 64¢.
$7,674 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $45,089
- 0xe52c...6924 — Yes, $35,483 (88% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — No, $34,022 (50% win rate)
- 0xad89...f6e1 — No, $9,339 (67% win rate)
- 0xed49...8783 — Yes, $9,289 (85% win rate)
- 0x1c14...0869 — No, $8,709 (65% win rate)
- 0x6998...9ff2 — Yes, $6,674
- 0x328d...f7a9 — Yes, $6,350 (90% win rate)
- 0x2a48...72ac — Yes, $6,126
- 0x614d...1546 — Yes, $6,000 (67% win rate)
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