Part of: Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

This prediction market tracks whether the Democratic nominee will win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. It resolves based on the official election winner, with live Yes/No odds and smart money activity available through PolySpotter; the market has recorded two tracked signals totaling $45,462.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,395.

Categories: US Election, Elections, Midterms, Politics, Governor midterms, Wisconsin Midterm

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader adds to Yes

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate added nearly $9,000 to an existing Yes position despite the market already trading at 78%.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 1,122 resolved trades and is up $1.6 million lifetime.
  • They added $8,933 to an existing Yes position, bringing their investment in the market above $20,000.
  • The market has risen 38% over the past week, while this trader continues buying near 78¢.

$22,826 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial trader adds to Yes

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate added nearly $9,000 to an existing Yes position despite the market already trading at 78%.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 1,122 resolved trades and is up $1.6 million lifetime.
  • They added $8,933 to an existing Yes position, bringing their investment in the market above $20,000.
  • The market has risen 38% over the past week, while this trader continues buying near 78¢.

$22,636 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial trader adds to Yes

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate added nearly $9,000 to an existing Yes position despite the market already trading at 78%.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 1,122 resolved trades and is up $1.6 million lifetime.
  • They added $8,933 to an existing Yes position, bringing their investment in the market above $20,000.
  • The market has risen 38% over the past week, while this trader continues buying near 78¢.

$8,933 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $58,534
  2. 0x000d...758e Yes, $42,449 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x9d84...1344 No, $28,990 (43% win rate)
  4. 0xe899...0899 Yes, $22,111 (71% win rate)
  5. 0x55f3...cada Yes, $10,034 (81% win rate)
  6. 0xa30e...49d5 Yes, $10,000 (96% win rate)
  7. 0x014c...820c No, $5,240 (41% win rate)
  8. 0xcb58...0160 Yes, $4,794 (98% win rate)
  9. 0x17c6...8aca Yes, $4,400 (98% win rate)
  10. 0xa5e3...4d7e No, $4,280 (19% win rate)

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Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner$54,395 tracked3 signalsUS ElectionElectionsMidtermsPoliticsGovernor midtermsWisconsin Midterm
Yes
81¢
No
20¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Price History — “Yes
84¢
79¢
74¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

2d ago

$22,826 on Yes at 78¢

78¢81¢3¢

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

2d ago

$22,636 on Yes at 78¢

78¢81¢3¢

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

6d ago

$8,933 on Yes at 78¢

78¢81¢3¢

Related Theses