Part of: ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,081.

Categories: interest rates, Europe, Economy, Global Rates, Economic Policy, European Central Bank

Notable Trades

86% serial macro trader

A highly proven 86% win-rate wallet is taking the Yes/no-change side on a relatively quiet ECB market, with serial cross-market history supporting the signal.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 1,120 resolved trades and is up about $55k lifetime.
  • They are a major serial cross-market trader, with activity across 230 markets and $1.17M total tracked volume.
  • Selling No at 87¢ is effectively buying Yes at 13¢, a contrarian bet that the ECB makes no change.

$2,081 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 83558045, $114,270
  2. 0x66a2...5577 Outcome 64232018, $14,378
  3. 0xc980...9d94 Outcome 64232018, $12,794
  4. 0x6453...5553 Outcome 64232018, $10,976 (60% win rate)
  5. 0xd0d4...7abf Outcome 64232018, $9,086
  6. 0x931c...e5dc Outcome 64232018, $6,670
  7. 0x0c6b...ea43 Outcome 64232018, $5,767
  8. 0xaf14...be5e Outcome 64232018, $5,318
  9. 0x4316...1cd9 Outcome 64232018, $5,148
  10. 0x89bd...f2ec Outcome 64232018, $4,955

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Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

ResolvedECB Interest Rates: June 2026$2,081 tracked1 signalinterest ratesEuropeEconomyGlobal RatesEconomic PolicyEuropean Central Bank

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting. If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting. If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.

Notable Trades

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

108d ago

$2,081 on Yes at 13¢

Related Theses