Part of: Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

This Fed prediction market covers whether the Federal Open Market Committee makes different interest-rate decisions across its June, July, and September 2026 meetings. Rates are measured by the upper bound of the federal funds target range, and the market resolves after the September 15–16 meeting. Current market odds were not included in the supplied metadata.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,533.

Categories: Fed Rates, Fed, fomc, Parlays, Economy, Jerome Powell

Notable Trades

Profitable macro trader scaling into Yes

A proven serial cross-market trader with a 64% win rate is adding a large $36.7K position to an existing Yes bet as the market rallies.

  • This trader has won 64% of 179 resolved bets and is up $91,052, with an average winning entry of just 51¢.
  • They added $36,668 to an existing Yes position, bringing total investment on the market to roughly $98,000.
  • The market has risen 12.5% in one day and 34% in a week, supporting the trader’s direction despite the 3¢ spread.

$9,592 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable macro trader scaling into Yes

A proven serial cross-market trader with a 64% win rate is adding a large $36.7K position to an existing Yes bet as the market rallies.

  • This trader has won 64% of 179 resolved bets and is up $91,052, with an average winning entry of just 51¢.
  • They added $36,668 to an existing Yes position, bringing total investment on the market to roughly $98,000.
  • The market has risen 12.5% in one day and 34% in a week, supporting the trader’s direction despite the 3¢ spread.

$14,273 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable macro trader scaling into Yes

A proven serial cross-market trader with a 64% win rate is adding a large $36.7K position to an existing Yes bet as the market rallies.

  • This trader has won 64% of 179 resolved bets and is up $91,052, with an average winning entry of just 51¢.
  • They added $36,668 to an existing Yes position, bringing total investment on the market to roughly $98,000.
  • The market has risen 12.5% in one day and 34% in a week, supporting the trader’s direction despite the 3¢ spread.

$36,668 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $34,187
  2. 0xe3cb...ac21 Yes, $21,069 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x26ef...a308 Yes, $9,900 (81% win rate)
  4. 0xa4b3...87b8 Yes, $4,349 (18% win rate)
  5. 0xda91...9ffd No, $3,924
  6. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $3,000 (48% win rate)
  7. 0x80a4...22cc Yes, $3,000 (56% win rate)
  8. 0x76db...6987 Yes, $2,549
  9. 0x0845...6b6f Yes, $2,000 (70% win rate)
  10. 0xb0fc...ce0b No, $1,887 (63% win rate)

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Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

49dFed decisions (Jun-Sep)$60,533 tracked3 signalsFed RatesFedfomcParlaysEconomyJerome Powell
Yes
70¢
No
31¢

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price History — “Yes
71¢
56¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

4d ago

$9,592 on Yes at 60¢

60¢70¢10¢

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

5d ago

$14,273 on Yes at 60¢

60¢70¢10¢

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

5d ago

$36,668 on Yes at 60¢

60¢70¢10¢

Related Theses