Part of: UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $293,000.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

New UFC whale scaling in

A brand-new wallet deployed nearly $293,000 across UFC 330 markets, including an additional Yes submission position in a very thin market, though it has no proven track record.

  • A wallet less than one day old has deployed $293,000 across UFC 330 positions, showing unusually strong event conviction.
  • The submission market has only about $3,446 in liquidity, making even the wallet’s $3,000 Yes purchase meaningful.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Yes position at 38¢, but has no resolved bets demonstrating an edge.

$293,000 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x81a6...b93b — Yes, $8,210 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x2f3c...6c2c — Yes, $7,837
  3. 0xa8ca...d535 — Yes, $3,552 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x9236...db6d — Yes, $2,560 (71% win rate)
  5. 0x8acb...6701 — Yes, $1,144
  6. 0x477f...6c45 — Yes, $1,108 (57% win rate)
  7. 0x7185...4896 — Yes, $1,050
  8. 0x3452...1ba0 — Yes, $1,024 (82% win rate)
  9. 0x6a2d...d491 — Yes, $813
  10. 0x5b63...11a4 — Yes, $803 (71% win rate)

Will the fight be won by submission?

Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

Will the fight be won by submission?

2026-08-15 10:03 UTC

$293,000 on Yes at 38¢