Part of: UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

Will the fight be won by submission?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $293,000.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

New UFC whale scaling in

A brand-new wallet deployed nearly $293,000 across UFC 330 markets, including an additional Yes submission position in a very thin market, though it has no proven track record.

  • A wallet less than one day old has deployed $293,000 across UFC 330 positions, showing unusually strong event conviction.
  • The submission market has only about $3,446 in liquidity, making even the wallet’s $3,000 Yes purchase meaningful.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Yes position at 38¢, but has no resolved bets demonstrating an edge.

$293,000 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x81a6...b93b — Outcome 10367837, $8,210 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x2f3c...6c2c — Outcome 10367837, $7,837
  3. 0xa8ca...d535 — Outcome 10367837, $3,552 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x9236...db6d — Outcome 10367837, $2,560 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x8acb...6701 — Outcome 10367837, $1,144
  6. 0x477f...6c45 — Outcome 10367837, $1,108 (52% win rate)
  7. 0x7185...4896 — Outcome 10367837, $1,050
  8. 0x3452...1ba0 — Outcome 10367837, $1,024 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x6a2d...d491 — Outcome 10367837, $813
  10. 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 10367837, $803 (70% win rate)

Will the fight be won by submission?

ResolvedUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$293,000 tracked1 signalSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “No”
71¢
56¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the fight be won by submission?

8d ago

$293,000 on Yes at 38¢