Part of: "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,627.
Categories: Movies, Culture, box office
Notable Trades
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable high-volume trader bought a meaningful Yes position in a thin box-office market that has already moved sharply in their direction.
- This bettor is up about $591k lifetime across 1,247 resolved trades.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $6.6M bet across 95 events.
- Their 63¢ Yes entry was large for this thin market and the price has already moved to 72¢.
$1,627 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $5,214
- 0x955c...990f — Yes, $3,880 (75% win rate)
- 0x44c1...ebc1 — Yes, $3,127 (58% win rate)
- 0x4acf...106c — No, $1,162
- 0x5a21...9318 — Yes, $900 (60% win rate)
- 0x5e39...352c — No, $686 (72% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $400 (47% win rate)
- 0x52eb...67ac — No, $330
- 0xf50f...ccc1 — Yes, $314
- 0x06db...5244 — No, $300
Related Theses
Iran deal arrives in May
Covers 6 related markets
Mandalorian opens above 92m
Covers 1 related market
