Part of: Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,198.

Categories: AI, Tech, Gemini, google

Notable Trades

94% winner exits Yes

A proven 94% winner exited a Yes position, effectively pointing toward No despite the alert’s weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $8.9K lifetime.
  • They sold Yes at 85¢ after previously holding it, signaling reduced confidence in the release happening by July 31.
  • The market is down 9% today, and this trade continued the move against Yes.

$1,198 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2110...5850 — Yes, $5,500 (76% win rate)
  2. 0x5b63...11a4 — Yes, $2,501 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x9592...a7b8 — Yes, $1,663 (76% win rate)
  4. 0xbe46...0411 — Yes, $1,174
  5. 0xe25a...7f82 — Yes, $920 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x3cec...37ac — Yes, $835 (78% win rate)
  7. 0x5e6b...574d — Yes, $758
  8. 0x7478...4003 — Yes, $454
  9. 0x48fe...e6e4 — Yes, $446
  10. 0x4489...2452 — Yes, $414

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?$1,198 tracked1 signalAITechGeminigoogle
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

2026-07-03 02:19 UTC

$1,198 on No at 15¢

15¢→100¢↑85¢