Part of: Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,583.

Categories: AI, Tech, Gemini, google

Notable Trades

87% winner in thin market

Sharp-wallet override: an 87% winner with positive lifetime P&L made a large Yes buy that dwarfs recent volume in a thin AI-release market.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $1,520 lifetime.
  • The $1,583 Yes buy was 237% of the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • Entry at 80¢ implies they see the Gemini Pro release as very likely before the deadline.

$1,583 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0482...6b0a No, $2,212 (30% win rate)
  2. 0x2ccd...3055 Yes, $2,055 (87% win rate)
  3. 0x0562...9d66 No, $2,000 (40% win rate)
  4. 0xe018...a22d Yes, $776
  5. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $637 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x21ff...0d71 Yes, $315
  7. 0x515e...ec0d Yes, $305
  8. 0x355e...a038 Yes, $232
  9. 0x2688...cb00 Yes, $231
  10. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $209 (47% win rate)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

56dNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?$1,583 tracked1 signalAITechGeminigoogle
Yes
79¢
No
21¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
96¢
86¢
76¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

1h ago

$1,583 on Yes at 80¢

80¢79¢1¢