Part of: Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,729.

Categories: AI, Tech, Gemini, google, AI Releases, Gemini Pro

Notable Trades

Proven bettor adding to No

A highly profitable bettor with 267 resolved positions and an 81% win rate is adding to an existing No position despite recent movement toward Yes.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 267 resolved trades and is up $96,381.
  • They added $1,964 to No at 73¢, below their existing 77¢ average entry, while Yes has recently gained ground.

$1,964 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven serial bettor adds to No

A proven, profitable bettor with an 80% win rate is adding to a No position and has traded across 27 events.

  • This bettor wins 80% of 266 resolved trades and is up $100,472 lifetime.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing No position, showing continued conviction that no qualifying Pro release arrives by the deadline.
  • They have traded across 27 events and 32 markets, indicating an established cross-market track record rather than a one-off wager.

$1,765 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?$3,729 tracked2 signalsAITechGeminigoogleAI ReleasesGemini Pro
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

2026-09-30 10:33 UTC

$1,964 on No at 73¢

73¢→100¢↑27¢

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

2026-09-16 21:19 UTC

$1,765 on No at 84¢

84¢→100¢↑16¢

Related Theses