Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,582.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

A profitable serial near-resolution trader bought nearly $4k of Yes at 89¢ about 29 minutes before expiry in a fast-moving BTC market that has since moved to 95%.

This wallet has a long track record and is up $163.6k overall across 1,272 resolved bets.
They repeatedly bet close to resolution, with 11 near-expiry bets across 4 markets, and bought this at 89¢ about 29 minutes before close.
The market was seeing heavy late flow and the price has already moved from 89¢ to 95¢ after their buys.

$3,973 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial BTC timer

Profitable serial timer with $331k lifetime P&L made a fresh $12.8k near-resolution bet on a high-volume BTC market, a pattern worth following despite the high 89¢ entry.

This bettor is up $331k lifetime across 1,099 resolved bets and often trades right before markets settle.
They bought $12.8k of Yes at 89¢ about 30 minutes before resolution, after making 13 similar near-resolution bets across 8 markets.
The market had an 18.9x volume spike and was already trading at 90%, so this looks like a high-confidence late confirmation rather than a cheap contrarian shot.

$12,760 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable serial timer

A profitable serial timer with $163,555 lifetime profit repeatedly bought Yes at 89¢ less than 30 minutes before resolution during a sharp pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has made $163,555 lifetime profit across 1,272 resolved bets and often trades right before resolution.
They bought Yes six times at 89¢ with 28 minutes left, showing repeated conviction instead of a one-off nibble.
Market volume was running 18.9x normal and the price was already 90¢, so they were leaning into late momentum.

$7,946 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

94% win-rate BTC timer

A proven 94% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought into this Bitcoin market about 32 minutes before resolution during a volume spike, making it a notable follow despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $41k across 139 settled markets.
They bought about 32 minutes before resolution, a pattern that stands out more because this wallet has traded 62 related markets across 35 events.
The buy came during an 18.9x volume spike, though the entry was already expensive at 89¢ in a very active market.

$1,766 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial timer

A profitable serial near-resolution trader with $163.6k lifetime P&L bought Yes three times 32 minutes before expiry, a pattern worth watching despite the rich 89¢ entry.

This wallet has made 1,272 resolved bets and is up $163.6k overall
They repeatedly bet near resolution, and this buy came 32 minutes before expiry
Three buys at 89¢ show conviction, though the edge is likely small in an already efficient market

$3,973 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp BTC contrarian

An 83% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought No at 54¢ on a very liquid BTC market that has since moved sharply in their favor to 29¢.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades across 36 events and 50 markets
They bought No at 54¢, and the market is now at 29¢ for No after moving hard their way
A $4.0k bet on a deep BTC market matters more because it beat a liquid crowd, not a thin orderbook

$4,038 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

3-wallet momentum cluster

Three wallets with long, profitable cross-market histories piled into No as that side jumped 23 points, suggesting coordinated momentum rather than random flow.

Three wallets all bought No for $5.1k total as No surged 23 points to 63%.
Two of the wallets have large real-money track records: one is up $331.7k and another is up $163.6k.
This is fresh conviction, not profit-taking, and one wallet caught No at 42¢ before the market moved.

$5,127 on No