Bitcoin above ___ on April 18?
10 signals across 2 markets · $47,968 tracked · resolves Apr 18, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will close above key price levels on April 18, with separate markets for $74,000 and $76,000. PolySpotter is tracking about $47,968 in smart money activity across the event, including signals from profitable serial BTC timers and a 94% win-rate BTC timer.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet momentum cluster
Three wallets with long, profitable cross-market histories piled into No as that side jumped 23 points, suggesting coordinated momentum rather than random flow.
$5,127Score: 10.4 - Profitable serial BTC timer
Profitable serial timer with $331k lifetime P&L made a fresh $12.8k near-resolution bet on a high-volume BTC market, a pattern worth following despite the high 89¢ entry.
$12,760Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 9.9 - Profitable serial timer
A profitable serial timer with $163,555 lifetime profit repeatedly bought Yes at 89¢ less than 30 minutes before resolution during a sharp pre-event volume spike.
$7,946Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 7.9 - 94% win-rate BTC timer
A proven 94% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought into this Bitcoin market about 32 minutes before resolution during a volume spike, making it a notable follow despite the modest size.
$1,766Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 7.4 - Profitable serial timer
A profitable serial near-resolution trader bought nearly $4k of Yes at 89¢ about 29 minutes before expiry in a fast-moving BTC market that has since moved to 95%.
$3,973Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 7.0 - Profitable serial timer
A profitable serial near-resolution trader with $163.6k lifetime P&L bought Yes three times 32 minutes before expiry, a pattern worth watching despite the rich 89¢ entry.
$3,973Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 5.5 - Sharp BTC contrarian
An 83% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought No at 54¢ on a very liquid BTC market that has since moved sharply in their favor to 29¢.
$4,038Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 4.0 - 91% winner buys thin market
A bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.9M profit made a large trade that dominated this market’s recent volume, effectively buying Yes around 26¢.
$3,633Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 3.0 - 91% win-rate BTC bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.9M profit just made a market-dominating $3.5k buy in an extremely thin BTC market, signaling conviction despite limited liquidity.
$3,524Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 3.0 - Profitable trader buying breakdown
A profitable high-volume trader bought No right after a major 50-point downside price break, making this a modest but actionable momentum alert despite the middling composite score.
$1,229Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0fe40e…01b7$15,893 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 59% wins
- 0x6e1d50…d0fa$12,760 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$7,156 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x6f2175…c9a5$4,038 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x66ad42…cc4e$1,766 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xde6e74…0169$1,229 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin April 18 prediction market odds for?
The event covers whether BTC/USDT will close above $74,000 and $76,000 on April 18. Each child market trades Yes or No based on the Binance 1-minute candle close at noon ET.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin event?
PolySpotter has tracked 10 smart money signals and about $47,968 across the event. Recent alerts include a 3-wallet momentum cluster, profitable serial BTC timers, and a 94% win-rate BTC timer.
How does this Polymarket Bitcoin market resolve?
It resolves using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on April 18. If the final close price is higher than the listed strike, that strike’s market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
Why are there multiple Bitcoin price levels in this event?
This is a multi-strike Bitcoin event, so traders can price different outcomes at once. The $74,000 and $76,000 markets show how likely traders think Bitcoin is to finish above each threshold.