Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 12?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?
This Polymarket prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will be above $80,000 on May 12, using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET as the resolution source. The market resolves on May 12, 2026, and smart money tracking currently shows $2,000 across 1 signal, including an 85% winner buying Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
85% winner buying Yes
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $12,216 lifetime.
- They put $2,000 on Yes at 82¢ after the market moved 19 points in the past day.
- Their average winning entry is 83¢, close to this 82¢ buy.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x8be4...b795 — Yes, $2,439 (85% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — No, $2,174 (58% win rate)
- 0x9f69...78e2 — No, $946
- 0xb37b...5186 — Yes, $791
- 0x0813...5b41 — No, $690
- 0x55dd...ee68 — No, $578
- 0x081d...74eb — Yes, $500
- 0xdb5a...3965 — No, $443 (61% win rate)
- 0x41b4...10da — Yes, $328
- 0xfdf3...2583 — No, $284
Related Theses
Bitcoin tops $80K by May 12
Covers 1 related market
