What is the Bitcoin above $82,000 on May 12 Polymarket about?

This market predicts whether the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on May 12 will close above $82,000. If the close is higher than $82,000, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candlestick data. The specific candle is the 12:00 PM ET candle on May 12, and its final close price determines the outcome.

What happens if Bitcoin is exactly $82,000 at resolution?

The market requires the close price to be higher than $82,000. If the Binance close is exactly $82,000 or below, the market resolves to No.

Why track smart money for this BTC price market?

Smart money signals can highlight how historically successful or notable traders are positioning in the market. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,110 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this market.

Where can I see the odds for Bitcoin being above $82K on May 12?

You can follow this market’s live Polymarket odds and smart money activity on PolySpotter, including trader alerts and positioning updates as the May 12 resolution time approaches.

Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 12?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?

This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will be above $82,000 on May 12, resolving using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $1,110 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including activity from a high-win serial crypto trader. The market resolves on May 12, 2026, based strictly on whether that Binance close price is higher than $82,000.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,110.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

High-win serial crypto trader

Serial cross-market trader with a 78% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes on BTC >$82K, though their lifetime P&L is negative and average odds are high.

This bettor has won 78% of 672 resolved markets and trades across many related crypto events.
They are effectively buying Yes at 25¢ after BTC odds fell 17.5 points over the past day.
The track record is mixed: high hit rate, but down $28.5K lifetime on $405.6K invested.

$1,110 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%