Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 16?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,910.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Profitable serial crypto bettor
Serial cross-market Bitcoin bettor with a large positive track record bought No at 90¢, aligning with current market odds and short-term bearish momentum.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,505 resolved bets with $388K in profit.
- They are highly active across related markets, with 52 events and $630K in cross-market positioning flagged.
- The trade backs No at 90¢ while the market is pricing Yes near 12%, matching recent downward price movement.
$1,693 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with 1,505 resolved bets is buying No on a near-term BTC price market, though the individual trade size is modest.
- This bettor is up $388K lifetime across 1,505 resolved trades.
- They have traded across 51 events and 78 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Buying No at 84¢ is a high-confidence position on Bitcoin staying below $82K at resolution.
$1,217 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — No, $4,662 (60% win rate)
- 0xdb5a...3965 — Yes, $2,080 (61% win rate)
- 0x3885...ca77 — Yes, $1,120 (55% win rate)
- 0x41b4...10da — No, $1,051
- 0x997c...251e — Yes, $850
- 0x86a2...73a8 — Yes, $800
- 0x72a0...c059 — No, $782 (55% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — Yes, $713 (58% win rate)
- 0xc7fd...0ded — No, $620
- 0x726f...d8e7 — Yes, $350 (56% win rate)
Related Theses
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
