Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 16?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,910.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable serial crypto bettor

Serial cross-market Bitcoin bettor with a large positive track record bought No at 90¢, aligning with current market odds and short-term bearish momentum.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 1,505 resolved bets with $388K in profit.
  • They are highly active across related markets, with 52 events and $630K in cross-market positioning flagged.
  • The trade backs No at 90¢ while the market is pricing Yes near 12%, matching recent downward price movement.

$1,693 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with 1,505 resolved bets is buying No on a near-term BTC price market, though the individual trade size is modest.

  • This bettor is up $388K lifetime across 1,505 resolved trades.
  • They have traded across 51 events and 78 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • Buying No at 84¢ is a high-confidence position on Bitcoin staying below $82K at resolution.

$1,217 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0fe4...01b7 No, $4,662 (60% win rate)
  2. 0xdb5a...3965 Yes, $2,080 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x3885...ca77 Yes, $1,120 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x41b4...10da No, $1,051
  5. 0x997c...251e Yes, $850
  6. 0x86a2...73a8 Yes, $800
  7. 0x72a0...c059 No, $782 (55% win rate)
  8. 0x6e1d...d0fa Yes, $713 (58% win rate)
  9. 0xc7fd...0ded No, $620
  10. 0x726f...d8e7 Yes, $350 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 10 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?

1dBitcoin above ___ on May 16?$2,910 tracked2 signalsBitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New
Yes
14¢
No
86¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Price History — “No
91¢
69¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?

1h ago

$1,693 on No at 90¢

90¢86¢4¢

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?

2h ago

$1,217 on No at 84¢

84¢86¢2¢

Related Theses