Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 16?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,454.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
87% win-rate BTC bettor
Sharp wallet with an 87% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Yes on a quiet BTC market, making the wallet track record the main signal.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $160k lifetime.
- Their past wins came at average 45¢ entries, suggesting a strong record of finding mispriced odds.
- The $1.35k buy was larger than recent market activity, showing conviction in a quieter BTC contract.
$1,348 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
86% winner buying thin BTC
Proven sharp wallet with an 86% record and large edge is buying Yes on a relatively thin BTC market, with the bet more than double recent 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $146K lifetime.
- They have beaten their average entry odds by about 41 percentage points across 50 resolved positions.
- This $1.1K Yes buy was more than 2x the market’s recent 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a thin market.
$1,106 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Related Theses
Bitcoin avoids $74K-$76K range
Covers 2 related markets
Bitcoin stays below $74K
Covers 2 related markets
Bitcoin tops $100K by 2026
Covers 3 related markets
