Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 16?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,454.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

87% win-rate BTC bettor

Sharp wallet with an 87% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Yes on a quiet BTC market, making the wallet track record the main signal.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $160k lifetime.
  • Their past wins came at average 45¢ entries, suggesting a strong record of finding mispriced odds.
  • The $1.35k buy was larger than recent market activity, showing conviction in a quieter BTC contract.

$1,348 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

86% winner buying thin BTC

Proven sharp wallet with an 86% record and large edge is buying Yes on a relatively thin BTC market, with the bet more than double recent 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $146K lifetime.
  • They have beaten their average entry odds by about 41 percentage points across 50 resolved positions.
  • This $1.1K Yes buy was more than 2x the market’s recent 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a thin market.

$1,106 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Related Theses

Bitcoin avoids $74K-$76K range

Covers 2 related markets

Bitcoin stays below $74K

Covers 2 related markets

Bitcoin tops $100K by 2026

Covers 3 related markets

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?

Bitcoin above ___ on May 16?$2,454 tracked2 signalsBitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Notable Trades

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?

2026-05-11 18:38 UTC

$1,348 on Yes at 27¢

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?

2026-05-10 14:23 UTC

$1,106 on Yes at 22¢

Related Theses