Part of: GA-11 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?

This prediction market tracks whether the Republican Party’s candidate wins Georgia’s 11th congressional district seat in the U.S. House in the 2026 midterm elections. It resolves based on the party affiliation of the winning candidate after the November 3, 2026 election is conclusively called by the market’s resolution sources. PolySpotter is tracking $4,532 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,532.

Categories: Nov 4 Elections, Elections, Politics, Midterms, House Elections, Georgia Midterm, US Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial politics bettor

A profitable serial cross-market trader added a $4.5k Yes bet in a relatively thin political market, moving the price from 87¢ toward 91¢.

  • This bettor has traded across 32 events and is up $238k lifetime.
  • The $4.5k buy was about 81% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a thin market.
  • They entered Yes at 87¢ and the market has already moved to 91¢.

$4,532 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc8b9...b836 Yes, $5,197 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x6d57...bfc5 No, $2,115 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x21ff...0d71 No, $1,250
  4. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $717
  5. 0x6f67...102c No, $709
  6. 0xc602...7fc1 No, $298 (43% win rate)
  7. 0xd218...b5c9 No, $260 (50% win rate)
  8. 0xa667...ceb3 Yes, $138 (90% win rate)
  9. 0xabb9...2b63 Yes, $112
  10. 0xa3e2...fdf8 No, $112

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Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?

85dGA-11 House Election Winner$4,532 tracked1 signalNov 4 ElectionsElectionsPoliticsMidtermsHouse ElectionsGeorgia MidtermUS Election
Yes
91¢
No
10¢

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Price History — “Yes
92¢
91¢
89¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?

26d ago

$4,532 on Yes at 87¢

87¢91¢4¢

Related Theses