Part of: Florida Governor Election Winner
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
This prediction market asks whether the Republican nominee will win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. PolySpotter is tracking $2,000 in smart money across 1 signal, including a recent alert that a 92% winner backs the GOP. The market resolves based on the certified winner of the 2026 Florida governor race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.
Categories: Elections, Politics, Midterms, US Election, Governor midterms, Florida Midterm
Notable Trades
92% winner backs GOP
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 92% resolved win rate and $112k profit bought Republicans to win Florida governor at 80¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $112k lifetime.
- They are a major serial political trader, active across 226 markets with $666k total volume.
- The $2k buy was 64% of this market’s 24h volume, adding conviction in a relatively quiet market.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $3,414
- 0x3818...9797 — Yes, $2,507 (89% win rate)
- 0x66f9...adb9 — No, $1,712
- 0x5c60...67c1 — Yes, $1,691
- 0xf6c6...7d80 — Yes, $703
- 0x1c14...0869 — No, $589 (63% win rate)
- 0x9d84...1344 — Yes, $564 (42% win rate)
- 0xbd62...6a7e — Yes, $500 (43% win rate)
- 0x6f67...102c — No, $429
- 0xc97d...732b — No, $400
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