Part of: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

This Polymarket market asks whether either the Arizona Diamondbacks or Boston Red Sox will score at least one run in the first inning of their August 19 MLB game at 4:10 PM ET. The market currently has one smart money signal, with proven bettors scaling into and backing the No outcome; it remains open until the game is completed and resolves by August 26, 2026.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,120.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into No

A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate is adding $20,000 to an existing No position at 57%.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades (67 of 73) and is up $1.66 million.
  • They added $20,000 to an existing No position, bringing their investment in this market above $55,000.
  • The trader has placed bets across 112 events and 118 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off wager.

$20,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Proven bettor backs first-inning No

A highly profitable, proven bettor with 882 resolved trades and an 83% win rate is taking a fresh position on No at 56%.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 882 resolved trades and is up $209,498 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 48 markets and 41 events, indicating broad and repeatable experience.
  • No was bought at 56¢, implying this bettor sees a meaningful chance that neither team scores in the first inning.

$1,120 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x408f...b2f4 Outcome 70224966, $35,088 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xdc41...dd7e Outcome 70224966, $3,517 (73% win rate)
  3. 0xf3a6...71bd Outcome 70224966, $2,001 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x8565...0c43 Outcome 70224966, $2,000 (82% win rate)
  5. 0x36e6...ad16 Outcome 70224966, $1,393 (90% win rate)
  6. 0x7c75...227f Outcome 70224966, $1,255 (95% win rate)
  7. 0xb88a...f6ad Outcome 70224966, $884 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x5633...59bc Outcome 70224966, $591 (95% win rate)
  9. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 70224966, $536 (83% win rate)
  10. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 70224966, $501 (71% win rate)

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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

2dArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$21,120 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 19 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Arizona Diamondbacks or Boston Red Sox. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

ARI
7
67-61
Final
BOS
6
68-59
ARI +148BOS -159O/U 8.5
Venue
Fenway Park, Boston
Attendance
36,540

Notable Trades

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

4d ago

$20,000 on No at 57¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

4d ago

$1,120 on No at 56¢

Related Theses