What is the prediction market for Tim O'Hare's 2026 election campaign?

The market asks whether Tim O'Hare will win the November 3, 2026, election for Tarrant County Judge in Texas.

When does the Tim O'Hare Tarrant County Judge market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve based on the election result, with a resolution deadline of April 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.

What happens if the election result is still unknown by the deadline?

If the result is not known by April 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “Other.”

Part of: 2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?

Q: What outcome qualifies for a “Yes” resolution?

“Yes” resolves if Tim O'Hare becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of the 2026 election.

Q: Do interim or appointed County Judges affect this market?

No. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election are not considered for resolution.

This prediction market tracks whether Tim O'Hare will become the next Tarrant County Judge in the November 3, 2026 election. It resolves based on the elected candidate, with temporary or interim appointments excluded; if the result is unknown by April 30, 2027, it resolves to “Other.”

The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,180.

Categories: Politics, Elections, US Election, deprec USA Election

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into Yes

A proven profitable bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial edge added to an existing Yes position at 49%, ahead of a 15-point weekly price rise.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $31,342 lifetime.
They added $1,242 to an existing Yes position at 49%, showing increased conviction.
The market has since risen to 60%, with a 15-point gain over the past week.

$1,242 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp bettor scales into No

A profitable bettor with a 75% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding nearly $3,000 to an existing No position in an extremely thin market.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $6,084 on $39,296 invested.
They added $2,939 to No at 39¢, building on an existing $8,396 position in a market with only $281 total volume.
The market has since moved to 60% No, reinforcing the direction of the trade.

$2,939 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%