Part of: Will Tim Walz resign by...?
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Tim Walz will announce that he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by December 31, 2026 ET. PolySpotter is tracking $4,450 in smart money activity on this market, with one recent signal: an 89% winner quietly buying NO. The market resolves to YES if Walz announces a resignation by the deadline, and NO otherwise, including if he leaves office by another route that makes resignation impossible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,450.
Categories: Politics, Trump, Minnesota Unrest
Notable Trades
89% winner buys quiet NO
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved-bet win rate put $4.45k on No in a very quiet political market, making the trade notable despite the long-dated resolution.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.48M lifetime.
- The $4.45k No buy was about 65x the market’s entire 24h volume.
- They have traded across 76 related markets with $14.2M total activity, suggesting a repeatable political-market edge.
$4,450 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xed10...d2e5 — No, $6,499 (89% win rate)
- 0x7170...0534 — Yes, $5,000 (36% win rate)
- 0xb581...b496 — Yes, $1,361 (49% win rate)
- 0x21fe...da90 — No, $1,232
- 0x9352...6db9 — No, $1,222
- 0x47ab...95df — No, $1,022 (73% win rate)
- 0xdf70...5e92 — No, $1,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Yes, $972 (79% win rate)
- 0xf779...d36f — Yes, $811
- 0xc684...2228 — Yes, $811 (81% win rate)
