Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,154.

Categories: Mentions, Politics, Trump

Notable Trades

Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)

A serial cross-market bettor with a perfect 32/32 resolved record just put a market-moving $3.2k buy into an extremely thin Trump phrase market, suggesting this low-odds 'No' is worth tracking.

  • This bettor has won 32 of 32 resolved markets and is up $76.4k lifetime.
  • They have traded 39 similar event markets for $520k total, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.
  • Their $3,154 buy was 3.3x the market's entire 24h volume in a very thin book, showing strong conviction at 83¢.

$3,154 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0216...d434 Outcome 37050388, $3,800 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x9f16...7013 Outcome 37050388, $584
  3. 0x0deb...cc7f Outcome 37050388, $286
  4. 0x1f35...10a1 Outcome 37050388, $208
  5. 0x0061...8fd6 Outcome 37050388, $200
  6. 0x1c26...6e31 Outcome 37050388, $200
  7. 0x22f2...90d7 Outcome 37050388, $169 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x330f...d535 Outcome 37050388, $128
  9. 0x809d...c03d Outcome 32193437, $125
  10. 0x59d0...2a76 Outcome 37050388, $102

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)

Resolved$3,154 tracked1 signalMentionsPoliticsTrump

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Notable Trades

Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)

21d ago

$3,154 on No at 83¢

Related Theses