Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This Polymarket market asks whether Turkiye will advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves “Yes” if Turkiye reaches the Round of 32, and “No” if they are mathematically eliminated or fail to advance by the market’s resolution conditions. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,690 in smart money activity on this market, including 1 signal.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,690.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

New whale, 5-for-5 start

A 2-day-old repeat whale with nine flagged large bets and a 5-for-5 resolved start is buying Yes after a sharp weekly pullback.

  • This new wallet is less than 2 days old but has already placed 9 flagged large bets totaling about $50k.
  • The bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved trades so far and up $462, though the track record is still early.
  • They bought Yes at 53¢ after the market fell 27 points this week, suggesting conviction on a rebound.

$2,690 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8fba...d08a — No, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x4b59...3aa6 — No, $5,837 (68% win rate)
  3. 0x1341...0853 — No, $5,320 (87% win rate)
  4. 0x227c...9133 — Yes, $5,075 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x9ba4...c413 — Yes, $2,798 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xcfff...d338 — Yes, $2,500
  7. 0x51fd...4272 — Yes, $2,050
  8. 0xbbf5...e611 — Yes, $2,027
  9. 0x5213...6a35 — No, $1,846 (83% win rate)
  10. 0x5c57...5b16 — No, $1,499

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

10dWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages$2,690 tracked1 signalFIFA World CupSports2026 FIFA World CupSoccerTeam PropsTournament Futures
Yes
52¢
No
48¢

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
88¢
69¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1h ago

$2,690 on Yes at 53¢

53¢→52¢↓1¢