Part of: Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether two SpaceX Starships will physically dock together in stable Earth orbit for at least 60 continuous seconds by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the market’s live Polymarket odds along with smart money activity, including $1,600 tracked and 1 recent smart money signal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,600.
Categories: SpaceX, space exploration, starship, Big Tech, Tech, launch, Elon Musk, Space
Notable Trades
Perfect-record serial trader
Serial cross-market wallet with 31 straight resolved wins is buying No on a relatively quiet SpaceX market after a sharp Yes move.
- This bettor has won all 31 resolved bets and has traded across 25 different events.
- They are fading a 9-point move toward Yes by buying No at 70¢.
- The $1.6k buy is meaningful in a market with only $5.4k traded in the last day.
$1,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x058f...4883 — No, $2,388 (100% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $855 (47% win rate)
- 0x1fc6...1fc1 — Yes, $801
- 0x51de...9e4a — Yes, $653
- 0xc602...7fc1 — Yes, $500 (43% win rate)
- 0xb8ad...ff58 — No, $395
- 0xa532...cc03 — Yes, $300
- 0x5028...91c5 — Yes, $275
- 0x03e1...e180 — Yes, $273
- 0x2a34...56cf — Yes, $200
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