Part of: Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,036.
Categories: Oil, SPR, Iran, Trump, crude, Economy, petroleum
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market bettor adds to Yes
A serial cross-market bettor with 242 resolved positions is adding $2,036 to an existing Yes position in a relatively thin market, though their historical win rate does not clearly beat their typical entry prices.
- This bettor has won 82% of 242 resolved trades and is up $32,054 lifetime.
- The $2,036 purchase represents 56% of the market's 24-hour volume and adds to an existing Yes position.
- The trade entered at 70¢ while Yes is now around 72¢, signaling continued conviction in the outcome.
$2,036 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Related Theses
Bolsonaro or Lula wins Brazil
Covers 2 related markets
Bitcoin reaches $90K, stalls below $100K
Covers 3 related markets
Ethereum will reach $3,500
Covers 1 related market
WTI will surge above $105
Covers 2 related markets
Hormuz traffic normalizes by August
Covers 1 related market
Bab el-Mandeb stays open
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin will dip, not rally
Covers 3 related markets
US crude reserves will hit 285M
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin will land between $64K–$66K
Covers 1 related market
Anthropic reaches $1.75T, not $2.5T
Covers 4 related markets
