Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,977.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer

Notable Trades

Quiet-market conviction bet

A single bettor put nearly $3k on Yes in a quiet World Cup market, more than 12x recent volume, but the wallet track record is still very small.

A bettor put nearly $3k on Yes, over 12x the market’s recent 24h volume.
The wallet is up about $6k on resolved bets, though only across 2 wins so far.
Entry at 84¢ is a high-confidence bet that USA advances from its group.

$2,999 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Quiet-market whale bet

A single wallet made a nearly $5k BUY Yes that dwarfs recent activity in a very thin long-dated World Cup market, though the wallet has no proven edge.

A bettor put nearly $5k on Yes, over 8x the market’s 24-hour volume.
The bet was large relative to available liquidity, suggesting strong conviction in a thin market.
Entry at 87¢ is expensive, but implies the bettor sees USA advancing as very likely.

$4,978 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%