Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This prediction market asks whether the United States will reach the semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves “Yes” if USA advances to the semifinal round, and “No” if they are eliminated or if the semifinals are not declared by the stated deadline; current smart money tracking shows $9,517 across 1 signal, including a sharp bettor fading USA.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $9,517.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, world cup, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor fading USA
Surfaced because a highly profitable sharp wallet with an 85% record placed a $9.5k No bet that dwarfed recent activity on a relatively quiet long-dated World Cup market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $558k lifetime.
- They put $9.5k on No, more than 11x the market’s prior 24h volume in the alert window.
- Entry at 86¢ shows they are backing USA missing the semifinals as a high-confidence favorite outcome.
$9,517 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x5375...aeea — Yes, $9,282 (43% win rate)
- 0xf41a...ea2b — Yes, $9,000 (63% win rate)
- 0xc021...1fa8 — Yes, $7,600 (54% win rate)
- 0xb51b...b4d9 — No, $5,895 (61% win rate)
- 0x7dd0...2b4b — No, $5,105 (65% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — No, $5,067 (48% win rate)
- 0x95c5...d5d3 — No, $5,024 (77% win rate)
- 0xd060...ce4f — Yes, $4,890
- 0x3df1...72e7 — No, $3,704 (59% win rate)
- 0xa18c...d792 — No, $2,341 (59% win rate)
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