Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $9,517.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, world cup, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor fading USA

Surfaced because a highly profitable sharp wallet with an 85% record placed a $9.5k No bet that dwarfed recent activity on a relatively quiet long-dated World Cup market.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $558k lifetime.
They put $9.5k on No, more than 11x the market’s prior 24h volume in the alert window.
Entry at 86¢ shows they are backing USA missing the semifinals as a high-confidence favorite outcome.

$9,517 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

0x4b05...1dac — Outcome 74285492, $11,348
0xf41a...ea2b — Outcome 74285492, $10,426 (63% win rate)
0xc021...1fa8 — Outcome 74285492, $9,600 (50% win rate)
0xa40d...ea7a — Outcome 74285492, $7,156
0xd060...ce4f — Outcome 74285492, $4,890
0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 74285492, $2,436 (82% win rate)
0x00c0...4610 — Outcome 74285492, $2,323 (33% win rate)
0x4bb2...a656 — Outcome 74285492, $2,000 (72% win rate)
0x6f2c...e130 — Outcome 74285492, $1,140
0x2dc5...da90 — Outcome 74285492, $1,000

Related Theses

Iran will stay in MOU negotiations

Covers 2 related markets

U.S. will not invade Iran by 2027

Covers 1 related market

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals$9,517 tracked1 signalSportsSoccerworld cupFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.