Part of: Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
This prediction market asks whether Venezuela will formally recognize Israel as a state by December 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes only after an official government recognition; an announcement of intent does not qualify. Live odds were not included in the supplied market metadata; PolySpotter tracks $5,612 in smart money and one Yes-conviction signal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,612.
Categories: Syria, Yemen, Israel, Geopolitics, Middle East
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Yes conviction cluster
Three wallets took aligned Yes exposure totaling $5,612, including a highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor, amid a sharp 40.5% one-day price increase.
- Three wallets aligned on Yes with $5,612 of exposure, including a converted No sale equivalent to buying Yes.
- One bettor wins 93% of trades and is up $369,000, while another is up $1.11 million.
- Yes has surged 40.5% in one day, suggesting the coordinated buying coincided with strong market repricing.
$5,612 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xdf17...97d1 — No, $15,771 (60% win rate)
- 0x9d84...1344 — Yes, $10,329 (44% win rate)
- 0x2616...c6aa — Yes, $6,437 (90% win rate)
- 0x79d9...baec — No, $6,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xb51b...b4d9 — Yes, $3,600 (61% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — No, $2,913
- 0x8f69...2923 — No, $2,607
- 0x7a63...f706 — Yes, $2,344
- 0xc18b...3917 — Yes, $1,233
- 0xd7f1...73cd — Yes, $1,200
