Part of: IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Vitality will win the IEM Cologne 2026 Counter-Strike 2 tournament, scheduled for June 2–21, 2026. Live Yes/No odds determine the market-implied chance, while PolySpotter currently tracks $1,832 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including recent sharp buying on Yes. The market resolves based on the official tournament winner, with “Other” applying if the event is cancelled, pushed past July 1, 2026, or has no declared winner by then.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,959.

Categories: IEM Cologne, Sports, counter strike 2, Esports, Major, rewards 100, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

13-0 sharp bettor

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor is 13-0 on resolved markets with $87k profit and bought Yes at 50¢ despite only a modest clustering signal.

  • This bettor has won 100% of their 13 resolved trades and is up $87k lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 50¢, implying they see Vitality as underpriced even after a 6-point daily move.
  • The wallet is linked to another previously seen funded wallet, adding light confirmation to the position.

$2,127 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

13-0 sharp buying Yes

Surface because the wallet has a perfect 13-0 resolved record with $87k profit, making the buy notable despite the modest trade size and simple clustering signal.

  • This bettor has won 13 of 13 resolved bets and is up $87,106 lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 45¢ after the market fell 14 points this week, suggesting a contrarian entry.
  • A linked-wallet cluster has put $4,671 total behind the same funding source.

$1,832 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $43,471
  2. 0x9368...80a3 Yes, $15,377 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x5f45...a77a Yes, $13,036 (61% win rate)
  4. 0x746e...4238 Yes, $10,573 (41% win rate)
  5. 0x8056...b64d No, $8,893 (49% win rate)
  6. 0x5fcb...f91a Yes, $4,977 (52% win rate)
  7. 0x2a8c...fd3d No, $2,789 (61% win rate)
  8. 0x3ffb...df76 Yes, $2,150 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x8afe...aec0 No, $2,118
  10. 0xb759...ed73 Yes, $1,673

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

29dIEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner$3,959 tracked2 signalsIEM CologneSportscounter strike 2EsportsMajorrewards 100, 4.5, 100
Yes
51¢
No
50¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
59¢
51¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

1h ago

$2,127 on Yes at 50¢

50¢51¢1¢

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

9h ago

$1,832 on Yes at 45¢

45¢51¢6¢

Related Theses