Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
This Polymarket asks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures contract will trade with a 1-minute candle high of $100 or more at any point in May 2026. The market resolves after the May trading window, with final settlement scheduled for June 1, 2026, using Pyth-published prices without rounding. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,502 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including alerts from oil-focused bettors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,096.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
$792K oil thesis bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is building a large cross-market WTI thesis, with $791k placed across 16 related oil markets despite only a small trade on this strike.
- This wallet is up $276k lifetime and has traded over $10.5M on resolved markets.
- They have placed about $792k across 16 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 16¢ implies a high-upside bet that WTI touches $100 during May.
$1,502 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
Profitable oil ladder bettor
A profitable macro bettor is building a large cross-market oil thesis, with roughly $792k spread across 16 related WTI markets despite only a small new fill here.
- This bettor is up $276k lifetime and has placed about $792k across 16 related oil markets.
- They bought Yes at 9¢, a long-shot entry that pays about 11x if WTI touches $100 in May.
- This looks like part of a broader oil-price ladder rather than a one-off small bet.
$1,594 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
Top Holders
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $28,292 (44% win rate)
- 0x50ea...48db — No, $17,564
- 0x53c4...740b — No, $10,000
- 0xa092...11e3 — No, $4,873 (98% win rate)
- 0x54a7...881b — No, $4,815 (93% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $3,000 (47% win rate)
- 0xff99...5602 — Yes, $2,862 (73% win rate)
- 0x3a8a...7699 — Yes, $2,444 (89% win rate)
- 0x48ee...008c — Yes, $1,836 (38% win rate)
- 0x433a...38e5 — No, $1,500
Related Theses
Crude oil whipsaws violently
Covers 11 related markets
April deal won't last
Covers 4 related markets
WTI swings wildly in May
Covers 16 related markets
