Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,419.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
93% win-rate oil bettor
A bettor with a 93% win rate is making a cross-market oil thesis trade, and this sell of No converts to a fresh Yes buy around 11¢ in a liquid event market.
- This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades, with 163 wins and $25.6k profit.
- They have bet across 4 related oil markets for nearly $7k total, which points to a broader event thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- This trade effectively buys Yes at 11¢, a cheap entry if their cross-market call on an oil spike is right.
$1,765 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
New whale across oil markets
A 3-day-old wallet has already made repeated five-figure bets across five related oil markets, suggesting a strong directional macro thesis rather than routine activity.
- A 3-day-old wallet has already made 9 flagged bets totaling $52.7k, including this $11.7k buy
- They are betting across 5 related oil markets, which points to a concentrated thesis rather than a one-off punt
- They paid 18¢ for Yes while the market now sits around 16-17¢, signaling willingness to size into a low-probability upside move
$11,750 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%
New whale across WTI strikes
A 3-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed size across five related WTI strike markets, and this latest $10.4k buy adds to a coordinated directional thesis rather than a one-off punt.
- A 3-day-old wallet has already made 8 flagged bets totaling about $41k, including this $10.4k buy.
- This bettor is building the same thesis across 5 related WTI markets, with about $21.9k tracked in this event.
- Bought Yes at 18¢ while the market sits around 16¢, a sign of conviction on a low-probability oil spike.
$10,446 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%
New whale across 5 oil markets
A 3-day-old wallet is repeatedly putting large size across five related WTI strike markets, suggesting a strong directional thesis rather than a one-off punt.
- A 3-day-old wallet just bought $16.8k of Yes at 18¢ and has already been flagged 7 times for large bets.
- This wallet has put about $28.3k across 5 related WTI markets, pointing to a concentrated oil-spike thesis.
- Buying at 18¢ implies they think the chance of a $140 April high is materially above the market price.
$16,818 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%
Sharp oil thesis bettor
A highly profitable wallet with an 88% win rate is building a cross-market oil thesis and just bought this long-shot WTI upside outcome at 9¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $387k lifetime
- They have nearly $19.4k spread across 3 related oil markets, showing a broader event thesis
- Entry at 9¢ is a cheap asymmetric bet, and this market is liquid enough that the trade looks intentional rather than random
$2,602 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
93% winner buys dip
A very high-win-rate wallet is taking a fresh contrarian position across related oil markets by effectively buying Yes at 10¢ after a sharp weekly price drop.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades with $25.5k profit across 172 bets
- Selling No at 90¢ is the same as buying Yes at 10¢, a cheap contrarian entry after this market fell 19.5% in a week
- They are betting across 2 related oil markets, suggesting a broader event thesis rather than a one-off trade
$1,796 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable new macro whale
A new wallet with repeated large bets and early profits added another sizable position on a major macro market, suggesting conviction worth tracking despite limited resolved history.
- This new wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts, with $116.6k flagged and $31.7k in profit so far
- They bought No at 90¢ on a major oil market, a high-conviction stance that April WTI stays below $140
- The market is active and liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like intentional positioning rather than a random thin-market punt
$2,268 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
93% winner presses oil thesis
A high-win-rate wallet with 172 resolved bets is extending a cross-market oil thesis by buying No at 89¢ in a liquid market after a sharp move, making this a credible but modest signal worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 93% of their trades across 172 resolved markets and is up $25k
- They bet No at 89¢ after also trading a related oil market, showing a broader event view
- The trade followed a quick 10.5-point move and backs the market staying below a low-probability $140 spike
$2,136 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
79% win-rate oil bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a 79% win rate is expressing a cross-market oil thesis here by selling Yes, which translates to buying No around 69¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $262k across more than 1,000 bets
- They placed about $5.7k across 3 related oil markets, pointing to a broader event thesis rather than a one-off trade
- Selling Yes at 31¢ is equivalent to buying No at 69¢, a clear view that $140 WTI in April is overpriced
$1,389 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable oil thesis bettor
A profitable wallet with a solid 76% win rate made a large $49k No bet on a volatile oil market after a sharp move, suggesting conviction on a cross-market energy thesis.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $47.6k on $133k invested
- They just put $49.3k into No at 67¢, nearly matching the market’s full posted liquidity of $51.6k
- The market has moved 11 points in a day, and this wallet is betting across related oil markets with the same thesis
$49,340 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xb1fa...1a14 — Outcome 25344844, $99,273 (22% win rate)
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — Outcome 25344844, $45,358 (78% win rate)
- 0xb68b...6893 — Outcome 25344844, $42,742
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 25344844, $35,538
- 0x387e...56a5 — Outcome 25344844, $26,781
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 25344844, $25,519 (84% win rate)
- 0x7daf...28f8 — Outcome 25344844, $25,332 (88% win rate)
- 0xa2c8...2389 — Outcome 73137653, $22,141 (76% win rate)
- 0x3e78...1ab9 — Outcome 25344844, $14,874
- 0xea79...a9cc — Outcome 25344844, $11,409 (66% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran meeting occurs April 21
Covers 14 related markets
