Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,419.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

93% win-rate oil bettor

A bettor with a 93% win rate is making a cross-market oil thesis trade, and this sell of No converts to a fresh Yes buy around 11¢ in a liquid event market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades, with 163 wins and $25.6k profit.
  • They have bet across 4 related oil markets for nearly $7k total, which points to a broader event thesis rather than a one-off trade.
  • This trade effectively buys Yes at 11¢, a cheap entry if their cross-market call on an oil spike is right.

$1,765 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

New whale across oil markets

A 3-day-old wallet has already made repeated five-figure bets across five related oil markets, suggesting a strong directional macro thesis rather than routine activity.

  • A 3-day-old wallet has already made 9 flagged bets totaling $52.7k, including this $11.7k buy
  • They are betting across 5 related oil markets, which points to a concentrated thesis rather than a one-off punt
  • They paid 18¢ for Yes while the market now sits around 16-17¢, signaling willingness to size into a low-probability upside move

$11,750 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%

New whale across WTI strikes

A 3-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed size across five related WTI strike markets, and this latest $10.4k buy adds to a coordinated directional thesis rather than a one-off punt.

  • A 3-day-old wallet has already made 8 flagged bets totaling about $41k, including this $10.4k buy.
  • This bettor is building the same thesis across 5 related WTI markets, with about $21.9k tracked in this event.
  • Bought Yes at 18¢ while the market sits around 16¢, a sign of conviction on a low-probability oil spike.

$10,446 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%

New whale across 5 oil markets

A 3-day-old wallet is repeatedly putting large size across five related WTI strike markets, suggesting a strong directional thesis rather than a one-off punt.

  • A 3-day-old wallet just bought $16.8k of Yes at 18¢ and has already been flagged 7 times for large bets.
  • This wallet has put about $28.3k across 5 related WTI markets, pointing to a concentrated oil-spike thesis.
  • Buying at 18¢ implies they think the chance of a $140 April high is materially above the market price.

$16,818 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%

Sharp oil thesis bettor

A highly profitable wallet with an 88% win rate is building a cross-market oil thesis and just bought this long-shot WTI upside outcome at 9¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $387k lifetime
  • They have nearly $19.4k spread across 3 related oil markets, showing a broader event thesis
  • Entry at 9¢ is a cheap asymmetric bet, and this market is liquid enough that the trade looks intentional rather than random

$2,602 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

93% winner buys dip

A very high-win-rate wallet is taking a fresh contrarian position across related oil markets by effectively buying Yes at 10¢ after a sharp weekly price drop.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades with $25.5k profit across 172 bets
  • Selling No at 90¢ is the same as buying Yes at 10¢, a cheap contrarian entry after this market fell 19.5% in a week
  • They are betting across 2 related oil markets, suggesting a broader event thesis rather than a one-off trade

$1,796 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable new macro whale

A new wallet with repeated large bets and early profits added another sizable position on a major macro market, suggesting conviction worth tracking despite limited resolved history.

  • This new wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts, with $116.6k flagged and $31.7k in profit so far
  • They bought No at 90¢ on a major oil market, a high-conviction stance that April WTI stays below $140
  • The market is active and liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like intentional positioning rather than a random thin-market punt

$2,268 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

93% winner presses oil thesis

A high-win-rate wallet with 172 resolved bets is extending a cross-market oil thesis by buying No at 89¢ in a liquid market after a sharp move, making this a credible but modest signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their trades across 172 resolved markets and is up $25k
  • They bet No at 89¢ after also trading a related oil market, showing a broader event view
  • The trade followed a quick 10.5-point move and backs the market staying below a low-probability $140 spike

$2,136 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

79% win-rate oil bettor

A highly profitable wallet with a 79% win rate is expressing a cross-market oil thesis here by selling Yes, which translates to buying No around 69¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $262k across more than 1,000 bets
  • They placed about $5.7k across 3 related oil markets, pointing to a broader event thesis rather than a one-off trade
  • Selling Yes at 31¢ is equivalent to buying No at 69¢, a clear view that $140 WTI in April is overpriced

$1,389 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable oil thesis bettor

A profitable wallet with a solid 76% win rate made a large $49k No bet on a volatile oil market after a sharp move, suggesting conviction on a cross-market energy thesis.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $47.6k on $133k invested
  • They just put $49.3k into No at 67¢, nearly matching the market’s full posted liquidity of $51.6k
  • The market has moved 11 points in a day, and this wallet is betting across related oil markets with the same thesis

$49,340 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb1fa...1a14 Outcome 25344844, $99,273 (22% win rate)
  2. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Outcome 25344844, $45,358 (78% win rate)
  3. 0xb68b...6893 Outcome 25344844, $42,742
  4. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 25344844, $35,538
  5. 0x387e...56a5 Outcome 25344844, $26,781
  6. 0xfc2f...10c7 Outcome 25344844, $25,519 (84% win rate)
  7. 0x7daf...28f8 Outcome 25344844, $25,332 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xa2c8...2389 Outcome 73137653, $22,141 (76% win rate)
  9. 0x3e78...1ab9 Outcome 25344844, $14,874
  10. 0xea79...a9cc Outcome 25344844, $11,409 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

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Iran meeting occurs April 21

Covers 14 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?$108,419 tracked12 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownCommoditiesOilRewards 50, 4.5, 100

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

32d ago

$1,765 on Yes at 11¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

33d ago

$11,750 on Yes at 18¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

33d ago

$10,446 on Yes at 18¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

33d ago

$16,818 on Yes at 18¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

34d ago

$2,602 on Yes at 9¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

34d ago

$1,796 on Yes at 10¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

36d ago

$2,268 on No at 90¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

37d ago

$2,136 on No at 89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

40d ago

$1,389 on No at 69¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

41d ago

$49,340 on No at 67¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

42d ago

$4,829 on No at 74¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

45d ago

$3,281 on No at 86¢

Related Theses