Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $100,940.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

97% win-rate oil bettor

A proven 97% win-rate trader is making a large, consistent cross-market commodities bet, buying No at 89¢ in a liquid WTI threshold market.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades with a $67k lifetime profit.
  • They have placed $58.6k across 4 related oil markets, which points to a broader event thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 89¢ suggests they see the $70 downside target as unlikely even late in the month.

$17,475 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable oil event specialist

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with 912 resolved bets and $235k profit is making a fresh, event-wide bearish oil threshold bet by buying No at 87¢ across 7 related markets.

  • This bettor has 912 resolved bets, wins 66% of the time, and is up about $235k lifetime.
  • They have put $64k across 7 related oil markets in this same event, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.
  • Buying No at 87¢ means they see this April $70 low as unlikely, and the market is liquid enough that this looks deliberate rather than random.

$4,327 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable oil thesis bettor

A profitable 78% win-rate trader is building a consistent cross-market oil thesis, adding a large No position in a liquid WTI threshold market near current pricing.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades across 107 bets
  • They have placed $33k across 3 related oil markets, showing a coordinated event-wide view
  • They bought No at 87¢, which converts to buying Yes on the opposite side at 13¢

$12,475 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable cross-market oil trader

A proven high-volume cross-market trader with $216k in profits is expressing a broad event thesis across 7 related WTI levels, and this trade buys the heavily favored side at 88¢.

  • This bettor has 908 resolved trades, wins 66% of the time, and is up $216k lifetime
  • They have put $61.6k across 7 related WTI markets in the same event, suggesting a coordinated price-level thesis
  • This trade backs No at 88¢, matching the market’s favored side in a liquid market rather than chasing a thin outlier

$1,752 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable new oil bettor

A 13-day-old wallet with unusually strong early profits keeps making sizable commodity event bets and just added another $2.6k Yes position at 14¢ across a broader 4-market oil thesis.

  • This 13-day-old wallet has already been flagged 9 times and is up about $19.8k despite only $26.1k invested
  • They bought Yes at 14¢ across 4 related oil markets, showing a clear event-driven thesis rather than a one-off punt
  • Entry at 14¢ means a small move in crude could reprice this sharply, and the market has already climbed 7 points over the past week

$2,586 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 33%

87% trader, 8-market oil thesis

A high-win-rate trader is expressing the same cross-market oil thesis across 8 related contracts, and this sell of No converts to a fresh buy of Yes at a low implied probability.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades, with 20 wins in 23 markets
  • They have built the same view across 8 related oil markets, suggesting a broader event thesis rather than a one-off punt
  • This trade bought the long-shot side at about 13¢, implying they see the current 12% odds as too low

$1,470 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

95% win-rate macro bettor

A serial cross-market trader with a 95% hit rate is adding a sizable position on the likely outcome in a liquid oil market, making this a notable follow despite the high entry price.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades across 1,081 bets
  • They have traded 27 related markets across 25 events, showing a repeatable cross-market approach
  • They bought No at 89¢ in a liquid oil market, backing the current 88% consensus with size

$4,978 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Pro oil-event specialist

A proven high-volume trader with 903 resolved bets and $208k profit is making a sizable cross-market oil thesis bet, buying No at 88¢ across 7 related markets.

  • This bettor has 903 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and is up about $208k overall
  • They have traded 7 markets in this same oil event for $67.6k total, showing a coordinated event-wide thesis
  • Buying No at 88¢ suggests they see the $70 low as unlikely even after this market moved up 5 points over the last week

$7,707 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable new oil bettor

A 12-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and strong early profits is building a broader crude-oil thesis, making this small add-on worth watching despite limited resolved history.

  • This 12-day-old wallet has already triggered 5 large-bet alerts and is up about $19.8k on $26.1k invested
  • They are betting across 4 related oil markets, which suggests a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt
  • Bought Yes at 13¢ in a liquid market, implying they think the chance of WTI hitting $70 this month is meaningfully higher

$1,078 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 33%

97% win-rate oil bettor

A bettor with a 97% win rate is building a cross-market oil thesis, and this trade aligns with their strong history of buying high-probability outcomes profitably.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades with $66.5k profit across 67 settled bets
  • They placed $41.7k across 4 related oil markets, showing a broader event-level thesis
  • They bought No at 89¢ in a liquid market, backing a high-confidence view that WTI stays above $70 this month

$3,527 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x26a6...333b Outcome 10552873, $124,156 (33% win rate)
  2. 0x777f...a1bb Outcome 10552873, $22,913 (78% win rate)
  3. 0xa2c8...2389 Outcome 83665156, $21,330 (76% win rate)
  4. 0xaa1a...bf63 Outcome 10552873, $16,679
  5. 0xd519...932c Outcome 10552873, $5,556 (18% win rate)
  6. 0x69d7...bf5f Outcome 10552873, $4,230
  7. 0xc960...b34d Outcome 83665156, $3,000
  8. 0x6db9...4ab5 Outcome 10552873, $2,893 (82% win rate)
  9. 0xf143...fdb3 Outcome 83665156, $2,500
  10. 0xa465...6b06 Outcome 10552873, $2,329

Related Theses

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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?$100,940 tracked20 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

24d ago

$17,475 on No at 89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

24d ago

$4,327 on No at 87¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

25d ago

$12,475 on Yes at 13¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

25d ago

$1,752 on No at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

25d ago

$2,586 on Yes at 14¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

25d ago

$1,470 on Yes at 13¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

25d ago

$4,978 on No at 89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

26d ago

$7,707 on No at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

26d ago

$1,078 on Yes at 13¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

27d ago

$3,527 on No at 89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

27d ago

$3,371 on No at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

28d ago

$8,313 on No at 84¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

28d ago

$11,671 on No at 80¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

28d ago

$1,000 on No at 80¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

28d ago

$1,176 on Yes at 16¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

34d ago

$1,030 on No at 90¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

34d ago

$1,129 on Yes at 13¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

38d ago

$6,319 on No at 80¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

45d ago

$4,975 on No at 90¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

45d ago

$4,580 on No at 89¢

Related Theses