Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,739.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable oil trader, 11-market thesis

Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad $364k thesis across 11 related WTI markets, making this small Yes buy worth tracking despite limited standalone size.

  • This bettor is up about $264k lifetime across $8.1M in Polymarket volume.
  • They have placed $364k across 11 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 11¢ offers a high-upside position if WTI strength continues through May.

$2,739 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

Top Holders

  1. 0x90c1...f6be Outcome 37343156, $18,987 (40% win rate)
  2. 0x777f...a1bb Outcome 37343156, $18,188 (79% win rate)
  3. 0x398d...c7c3 Outcome 37343156, $15,879 (77% win rate)
  4. 0xf31a...bfba Outcome 37343156, $10,741
  5. 0x3764...c5eb Outcome 37343156, $8,038 (62% win rate)
  6. 0x1c12...79d9 Outcome 37343156, $6,337 (17% win rate)
  7. 0xac29...36c7 Outcome 37343156, $5,000
  8. 0x32b4...8b21 Outcome 37343156, $4,728 (62% win rate)
  9. 0x7acd...1086 Outcome 37343156, $4,715
  10. 0xe94b...5abe Outcome 37343156, $4,301 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

Oil whipsaws violently in May

Covers 16 related markets

Covers 23 related markets

Crude oil volatility explodes

Covers 15 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Iran deal timing arbitrage

Covers 4 related markets

WTI volatility will spike

Covers 10 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$2,739 tracked1 signalFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

39d ago

$2,739 on Yes at 11¢

Related Theses