Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,839.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
85% winner oil thesis
A proven 85% win-rate trader with nearly $395k profit is making a cross-market oil thesis bet here by effectively buying Yes at 12¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $395k lifetime.
- They have bet across 11 related oil markets in the same event, with nearly $66k deployed on the broader thesis.
- This trade effectively buys Yes at 12¢, a low price for a trader with a long track record of beating the market.
$1,062 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
86% winner oil thesis
A highly profitable 86% win-rate trader is expressing a broader oil-event thesis across 8 related markets, and this sell converts into a buy of No around 73¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of their trades and is up about $419k lifetime
- They have placed $31.6k across 8 related oil markets in the same event, showing a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off trade
- Selling Yes at 27¢ is equivalent to buying No at 73¢, a bet that WTI stays above $75 for the rest of April
$1,348 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Proven cross-market oil bettor
A profitable, high-volume cross-market trader with nearly 900 resolved bets is building a broad thesis across seven related WTI price markets, making this $1.7k No bet worth tracking despite the modest size.
- This bettor has won 65% of 897 resolved trades and is up about $201k overall
- They have put nearly $50k across 7 related WTI markets, showing a coordinated view rather than a one-off bet
- Bought No at 70¢, backing the view that WTI is unlikely to print a $75 low this month
$1,729 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
97% winner in oil markets
A wallet with a 97% win rate across 67 resolved markets is making a fresh cross-market commodity bet, which is notable even without other supporting signals.
- This bettor wins 97% of their trades and is up about $66.5k across 67 resolved markets
- They have placed $38.2k across 3 related oil markets, which points to a broader event thesis rather than a one-off bet
- They bought No at 67¢, meaning they likely think the market is overstating the odds of WTI falling to $75 or lower this month
$4,730 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Proven cross-market oil bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with 892 resolved bets and nearly $200k profit is building the same thesis across 7 related WTI levels, making this a credible directional signal despite the single trade size being modest.
- This bettor has 892 resolved trades, wins 65% of the time, and is up about $196k overall
- They have put nearly $52k across 7 related WTI markets, which points to a clear event-wide oil view
- They bought No at 72¢, meaning the copyable angle is buying Yes on the opposite side at about 28¢
$4,096 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
79% win-rate oil bettor
A proven profitable bettor with a 79% win rate and strong edge bought No at 74¢ on a liquid oil market after a sharp 1-day move lower in Yes odds.
- This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades and is up $36k across 63 markets.
- They bought No at 74¢ after Yes fell 12.5 points in a day, suggesting they agree the $75 low is now less likely.
- This is a fresh $1.6k position in a liquid macro market, making it more useful as a signal than a random thin-market bet.
$1,609 on No | Wallet win rate: 43%
90% win-rate oil bettor
A bettor with a 90% win rate and positive edge is buying No at 61¢ in a fast-moving WTI threshold market, making this a credible sharp-positioning alert despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 90% of their trades, with 129 wins in 144 resolved markets
- They bought No at 61¢ after this market jumped 27 points in a day, suggesting they still see the drop-to-$75 odds as too high
- They also traded another market in the same oil event, pointing to a broader WTI view rather than a one-off bet
$1,542 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
97% winner joins oil cluster
Three wallets aligned on Yes in this WTI floor market, led by a 97% win-rate trader deploying correlated bets across the same event while price has already surged sharply.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades is part of this 3-wallet push into the same oil outcome.
- All 3 wallets landed on Yes within minutes, totaling $3.8k, while this market is already up 30 points in a day.
- They entered around 40-48¢, suggesting they see the April $75 low as materially more likely than the market implied.
$3,834 on Yes
Sharp oil thesis bettor
A profitable 75% win-rate wallet is building a consistent cross-market oil thesis, buying No at 81¢ in a liquid market that has recently moved toward Yes.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $931 across 24 settled markets.
- They have put $5,051 across 3 related oil markets, showing a coordinated event-level view rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought No at 81¢ while this market has moved 7.5 points in a day, signaling conviction on the opposite side of recent momentum.
$2,022 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
97% winner repeats oil thesis
A wallet with a 97% win rate is expressing the same cross-market oil thesis again here, buying No at 85¢ in a liquid event market.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades with a $66.8k lifetime profit.
- They have bet $25.8k across 3 related oil markets, showing a coordinated event-wide view.
- Buying No at 85¢ suggests they see the April $75 downside trigger as still overpriced.
$1,836 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xa2c8...2389 — Outcome 66057364, $25,291 (76% win rate)
- 0xd0b7...fa4b — Outcome 75505005, $9,996
- 0x777f...a1bb — Outcome 75505005, $7,850 (78% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 75505005, $7,138
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 75505005, $3,560 (40% win rate)
- 0x5108...29cb — Outcome 75505005, $3,078 (68% win rate)
- 0xff30...4a37 — Outcome 75505005, $2,914 (62% win rate)
- 0x9f3f...5488 — Outcome 75505005, $1,594
- 0x71ab...f015 — Outcome 75505005, $1,000 (63% win rate)
- 0xdcdd...73a5 — Outcome 75505005, $898 (66% win rate)
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