Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,944.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

79% winner re-entering oil thesis

A proven high-win-rate bettor is re-entering this oil event via the equivalent of buying Yes at 15¢, extending a broad 8-market thesis rather than just managing an old position.

  • This bettor wins 79% of their trades and is up $261k across more than 1,000 resolved bets.
  • They have built positions across 8 related oil markets with $34k total, which points to a deliberate event-wide view.
  • This trade is effectively a BUY Yes at 15¢ after previously closing a smaller Yes position, so it looks like fresh conviction rather than simple profit-taking.

$1,785 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Pro cross-market oil trader

A proven, profitable cross-market trader with over 1,000 resolved bets is making a fresh event-wide position here, backing No at a high-confidence 88¢ price.

  • This bettor has 1,041 resolved bets, wins 66% of them, and is up $282k lifetime.
  • They have traded 8 related markets in this same event for $86k total, suggesting a broader oil price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 88¢ shows a high-confidence view that WTI is unlikely to print a sub-$85 low before April ends.

$2,684 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

79% winner on WTI thesis

Profitable high-volume wallet with a 79% win rate is making a fresh cross-market WTI thesis bet on No after a sharp move, which is worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 79% of 1,046 resolved trades and is up $262k lifetime
  • They have put $26k across 7 related WTI markets, showing a broader event-level view rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought No at 62¢ after a sharp price move, suggesting they still see the April $85 touch as overpriced

$2,475 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc85e...5d37 Outcome 97557826, $50,025
  2. 0x931a...52f9 Outcome 97557826, $2,643
  3. 0x71ab...f015 Outcome 97557826, $554 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x9849...2ee5 Outcome 97557826, $390
  5. 0xffe1...e539 Outcome 97557826, $318
  6. 0x0c30...6759 Outcome 97557826, $241
  7. 0x55e8...9f0b Outcome 97557826, $238
  8. 0xd85b...d467 Outcome 97557826, $186
  9. 0xfc2f...10c7 Outcome 97557826, $138 (82% win rate)
  10. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 97557826, $136

Related Theses

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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?$6,944 tracked3 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

41d ago

$1,785 on Yes at 15¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

41d ago

$2,684 on No at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

45d ago

$2,475 on No at 62¢

Related Theses