Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
This Polymarket asks whether the active month of WTI crude oil futures will print a 1-minute candle low at or below $85 at any point before the end of April 2026. It resolves to Yes if that price is touched even briefly, based specifically on the final low of a 1-minute candle in the active WTI contract. The market is scheduled to resolve by April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,475.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
79% winner on WTI thesis
Profitable high-volume wallet with a 79% win rate is making a fresh cross-market WTI thesis bet on No after a sharp move, which is worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 79% of 1,046 resolved trades and is up $262k lifetime
- They have put $26k across 7 related WTI markets, showing a broader event-level view rather than a one-off bet
- Bought No at 62¢ after a sharp price move, suggesting they still see the April $85 touch as overpriced
$2,475 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $51,146 (43% win rate)
- 0x777f...a1bb — No, $12,759 (79% win rate)
- 0x71e1...45f0 — No, $7,588 (56% win rate)
- 0xf579...9989 — Yes, $5,491 (68% win rate)
- 0x7cf3...b1ba — No, $4,488 (31% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — No, $4,468 (60% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — No, $4,184 (71% win rate)
- 0x7a38...d6ab — No, $2,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x662a...77b7 — No, $1,963 (38% win rate)
- 0xf350...f3ff — Yes, $1,837 (54% win rate)
