Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

This Polymarket asks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures contract will print a 1-minute candle low at or below $90 at any time before the end of April 2026. It resolves to Yes if that price is touched on the contract’s official low during the market window, and No if WTI never trades that low. Traders use this market to gauge the probability of a sharp downside move in oil prices during April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,011.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro trader

A high-volume veteran trader with 1,300+ resolved bets and $226k profit is taking a fresh position in a thin WTI range market, making this worth watching despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 1,306 resolved trades and is up $226k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 329 markets across 144 events suggests a repeatable macro process
  • They bought No at 52¢ in a market with just $4.9k of 24-hour volume, so this was meaningful size for this book

$1,011 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe734...4f0c Yes, $2,418 (43% win rate)
  2. 0xe738...df65 No, $1,961 (68% win rate)
  3. 0x36da...8218 No, $1,483 (29% win rate)
  4. 0xa540...0b43 Yes, $965 (42% win rate)
  5. 0x4047...7293 Yes, $666 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x4d82...a5e9 No, $614 (43% win rate)
  7. 0xd6a8...58fd Yes, $300
  8. 0x4e28...c1fa No, $218
  9. 0x5ca7...8195 Yes, $200 (43% win rate)
  10. 0x9ec7...9a5c No, $113

Related Theses

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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

5d$1,011 tracked1 signalFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownCommoditiesOil
Yes
53¢
No
48¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Price History — “Yes
74¢
61¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

4h ago

$1,011 on No at 52¢

52¢48¢4¢

Related Theses

WTI Oil $90 Low in April 2026 Odds | PolySpotter