Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,972.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable whale on oil upside

A profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad WTI upside thesis across 11 related markets with $313k positioned, though this specific add is modest.

  • This high-volume bettor is up about $261k lifetime and has traded $7.7M on Polymarket.
  • They have $313k spread across 11 related WTI oil markets, suggesting a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • This entry at 57¢ is below the current 60¢ market price, giving a modestly better level than the live odds.

$2,748 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

12-wallet funded cluster

A 12-wallet funded cluster is building the Yes side, though this specific fill is modest and mainly supported by linked-wallet history.

  • A 12-wallet funded group is backing the same Yes direction across related WTI markets.
  • This wallet has a solid record, winning 63% of resolved bets with $5.2K profit.
  • Selling No at 41¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 59¢, matching the current market ask.

$1,062 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable trader across 7 oil lines

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad WTI thesis across 7 related markets with $146.9k deployed, though this specific trade is modest and supported mainly by cross-market positioning.

  • This wallet has put $146.9k across 7 related WTI markets, showing a broad oil-price thesis.
  • The trader is up $267.6k lifetime despite a 41% hit rate, suggesting selective but high-value wins.
  • Entry at 65¢ implies they see this as a lower-risk WTI move with about 1.5x upside.

$4,161 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Outcome 81643862, $13,332 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x740c...d013 Outcome 81643862, $4,269 (68% win rate)
  3. 0x7447...a16d Outcome 81643862, $3,000 (58% win rate)
  4. 0x2f63...f247 Outcome 81643862, $1,520 (83% win rate)
  5. 0x5c6e...0617 Outcome 81643862, $1,500 (58% win rate)
  6. 0x5b1f...11ff Outcome 81643862, $1,421
  7. 0x8fc9...ec4b Outcome 81643862, $1,412
  8. 0x4382...a813 Outcome 81643862, $1,000
  9. 0xa578...7b2c Outcome 81643862, $1,000
  10. 0x777f...a1bb Outcome 81643862, $921 (79% win rate)

Related Theses

Oil whipsaws violently by June

Covers 15 related markets

Oil whipsaws violently in May

Covers 16 related markets

Iran deal timing arbitrage

Covers 4 related markets

WTI volatility explodes in June

Covers 11 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 23 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Oil reaches 110, not 120

Covers 2 related markets

WTI crashes below $90

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$7,972 tracked3 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

42d ago

$2,748 on Yes at 57¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

43d ago

$1,062 on Yes at 59¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

45d ago

$4,161 on Yes at 65¢

Related Theses