Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,271.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

$305K WTI ladder bettor

A profitable high-volume wallet is building a large cross-market WTI thesis, with $305K across 11 related markets and a fresh Yes buy after a sharp one-day price drop.

  • This wallet has placed $305K across 11 related WTI markets, showing a broad oil-price thesis.
  • The bettor is profitable overall, up about $261K despite a 41% hit rate.
  • They bought Yes at 73¢ after the market fell 7.5 points in a day, suggesting they are buying the dip.

$3,372 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

Profitable oil thesis whale

A profitable high-volume wallet is building a $149k cross-market WTI thesis across 11 related markets, making this more notable than the single $3.9k trade suggests.

  • This wallet is up $266k lifetime and has traded $7.6M across resolved markets.
  • They have built a $149k position across 11 related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
  • Entry at 78¢ is close to the current 80¢ market price, with odds up 4 points today.

$3,898 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7a38...d6ab Outcome 62638240, $22,700 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x7447...a16d Outcome 62638240, $21,438 (58% win rate)
  3. 0xde54...baa8 Outcome 62638240, $10,000
  4. 0xa3d3...d424 Outcome 62638240, $10,000 (49% win rate)
  5. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Outcome 62638240, $5,555 (78% win rate)
  6. 0xad39...e46c Outcome 62638240, $5,028
  7. 0x8fc9...ec4b Outcome 62638240, $4,924
  8. 0xe94b...5abe Outcome 62638240, $4,009 (73% win rate)
  9. 0x4c2d...f8ae Outcome 62638240, $2,641 (42% win rate)
  10. 0xd2ff...a454 Outcome 62638240, $1,200

Related Theses

Oil whipsaws violently in May

Covers 16 related markets

Covers 23 related markets

Crude oil volatility explodes

Covers 15 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Iran deal timing arbitrage

Covers 4 related markets

WTI sees wild June swings

Covers 11 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$7,271 tracked2 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

44d ago

$3,372 on Yes at 73¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

45d ago

$3,898 on Yes at 78¢

Related Theses