Part of: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,910.
Categories: Finance, Commodities, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Oil, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Serial macro winner buying Down
Serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate and $147k profit is buying Down on WTI, though the bet size is moderate and the market is fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $147k lifetime.
- They have traded across 139 events with about $4.7M in total activity.
- Buying Down at 71¢ suggests confidence beyond the current 70% market odds.
$2,302 on Down | Wallet win rate: 86%
89% win-rate macro trader
A highly experienced cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate bought Down on WTI, though the bet size is moderate and the signal is mainly track-record driven.
- This bettor has won 89% of 621 resolved markets and is up about $147k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.7M deployed across 217 markets.
- Bought Down at 56¢, and the market has already moved slightly their way to 58¢.
$2,913 on Down | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable serial macro trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader bought WTI Up at 54¢ before the market moved to 60¢, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.
- This bettor has a long record: 500 resolved trades, 64% wins, and about $55K in profit.
- They bought Up at 54¢ and the market has already moved to 60¢, suggesting the trade was well-timed.
- This wallet regularly trades across related event markets, with $290K flagged across 25 events.
$2,695 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0xfd88...4037 — Outcome 38944714, $1,821 (42% win rate)
- 0x5074...fcdd — Outcome 38944714, $1,422
- 0xfc39...03ef — Outcome 38944714, $1,236
- 0x5082...049d — Outcome 38944714, $1,029 (48% win rate)
- 0xfb51...742d — Outcome 38944714, $1,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x404d...e6d3 — Outcome 38944714, $574
- 0xaa74...d98b — Outcome 38944714, $465 (67% win rate)
- 0x9ece...a2e9 — Outcome 38944714, $371
- 0xe41e...5aa1 — Outcome 38944714, $189
- 0x6a7a...2233 — Outcome 38944714, $121 (50% win rate)
Related Theses
WTI rallies but stays below $110
Covers 8 related markets
Iran deal timing arbitrage
Covers 5 related markets
Natural gas whipsaws in May
Covers 4 related markets
