Part of: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?
This Polymarket-style prediction market asks whether the active-month WTI Crude Oil futures close on May 22, 2026 will be higher or lower than the previous trading day’s close. The market resolves at 21:00 UTC on May 22, 2026, based on the official daily close comparison. PolySpotter is tracking $2,028 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including alerts from profitable macro and cross-market bettors.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on May 22, 2026, is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on May 22, 2026, is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50. For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session on the specified date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official settlement price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,372.
Categories: Finance, Commodities, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Oil, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with 283 resolved bets is taking a fresh contrarian-looking Down position in a moderately liquid WTI daily market, though the price has moved against the entry.
- This bettor has won 61% of 283 resolved trades and is up $127,539 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 34 events, 48 markets, and $173,364 traded in this pattern.
- They bought Down at 48¢, while the market now prices it around 38¢.
$2,028 on Down | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable serial macro bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought a meaningful Up position in a relatively thin WTI daily market, and the price has already moved in their favor.
- This bettor is up $161K lifetime across 154 resolved markets.
- They have traded 75 markets across 38 events, suggesting a repeat macro-trading pattern.
- Bought Up at 47¢ in a thin market; it has already moved to about 52¢.
$2,344 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x5f45...a77a — Down, $6,753 (61% win rate)
- 0x7447...a16d — Up, $4,350 (59% win rate)
- 0x629b...b236 — Down, $2,159
- 0xa540...0b43 — Up, $1,220 (41% win rate)
- 0xaa98...90bb — Up, $1,185 (51% win rate)
- 0xf9b7...60a4 — Up, $1,100 (61% win rate)
- 0x2651...3471 — Down, $979
- 0x3e58...4344 — Up, $821 (71% win rate)
- 0xc329...1cc8 — Down, $488
- 0x532f...e626 — Up, $450
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