Xi Jinping out before 2027?
This Polymarket asks whether Xi Jinping will be removed from power as CCP General Secretary at any point between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if he resigns, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses the role during that window; otherwise it resolves to No. It is currently drawing geopolitical interest, with $2,091 in tracked smart money and one recent signal from an 84% win-rate macro bettor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,091.
Categories: Geopolitics, World, world affairs, Earn 4%, Macro Geopolitics, HFC
Notable Trades
84% win-rate macro bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 84% win rate sold No here, which converts to a fresh buy of Yes at 11¢ on a serious geopolitical market.
- This bettor wins 84% of their resolved markets across 128 bets and has deployed about $2.07M total
- They sold No at 89¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 11¢ on Xi leaving power before 2027
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks like a deliberate macro view rather than noise in a dead market
$2,091 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xf811...1792 — Yes, $504,783
- 0x4fc1...84a7 — Yes, $291,774
- 0x1934...0a4b — Yes, $270,005
- 0x2c64...2099 — Yes, $217,896
- 0x924c...6db2 — No, $84,765 (50% win rate)
- 0x67ce...3881 — No, $80,504
- 0xeea5...b5c3 — Yes, $80,301
- 0xe8ff...c93b — No, $79,999
- 0x0573...5f76 — No, $78,312
- 0x45b3...35bc — No, $76,588
