Cross-Market Thesis

“Russia won’t capture Kostyantynivka”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?, Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,500 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xc932870% win rate

Total

$2,500

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
    $1,400 @ 64¢
  2. 2Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
    $1,100 @ 59¢
Russia won’t capture Kostyantynivka — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter